AD Cabense vs Araripina FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
27.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Cabense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
CAB
1 - 0
CEN
29%
25%
47%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
AME
2 - 1
CAB
37%
25%
37%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
CAB
1 - 4
NAU
18%
22%
60%
|
40 | 60 | 20 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
CAB
2 - 0
YPI
37%
24%
38%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 1
CAB
75%
16%
9%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Araripina FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
SPO
5 - 0
ARA
81%
14%
5%
|
39 | 70 | 31 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
ARA
0 - 1
CEN
34%
25%
42%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 1
ARA
74%
16%
10%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
NAU
2 - 1
ARA
78%
15%
7%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
ARA
2 - 2
POR
37%
25%
39%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |