Barrealeña vs Aserrí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
43.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barrealeña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
PAR
4 - 1
ADB
66%
18%
16%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ADB
0 - 4
JFC
21%
23%
56%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | -3 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
COT
3 - 2
ADB
63%
20%
17%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ADB
1 - 3
TUR
25%
24%
51%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
DEP
2 - 1
ADB
65%
20%
15%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Aserrí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
ASE
1 - 2
DEP
37%
25%
38%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 0
ASE
43%
24%
33%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ASE
2 - 2
JFC
27%
25%
49%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
COT
3 - 2
ASE
41%
25%
34%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
ASE
1 - 2
TUR
32%
26%
42%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |