Doce Mel vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.2%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.5%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
0.9%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
2.7%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.7%
87%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
15.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.5%
0-3
14.7%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
19.7%
0-4
10.6%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
13.4%
0-5
6.1%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
7.4%
0-6
2.9%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0%
-6
3.4%
0-7
1.2%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.4%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Doce Mel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
ADA
2 - 2
VIT
6%
12%
82%
|
26 | 64 | 38 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2020 |
JEC
0 - 4
ADA
62%
20%
19%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
BAH
0 - 0
ADA
88%
10%
2%
|
23 | 79 | 56 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
ADA
0 - 0
VIT
16%
20%
64%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
ADA
3 - 7
FLU
17%
21%
62%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
BAH
1 - 2
SDJ
84%
12%
5%
|
76 | 49 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 4
BAH
48%
27%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
ATM
1 - 1
BAH
72%
18%
10%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
BAH
3 - 3
GOI
54%
25%
22%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2021 |
BAH
0 - 1
FLU
35%
26%
39%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |