Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 2-5
Alcorcón vs Zamora CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
27.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
PON
0 - 0
ALC
35%
26%
39%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2003 |
ALC
0 - 0
BUR
41%
30%
29%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2003 |
ZAM
1 - 1
ALC
60%
21%
19%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2003 |
MAJ
0 - 3
ALC
25%
25%
50%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
AVI
2 - 1
ALC
29%
27%
44%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Zamora CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
ZAM
0 - 3
ATB
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2003 |
ZAM
3 - 0
SSR
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2003 |
ZAM
1 - 1
ALC
60%
21%
19%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2003 |
COM
1 - 2
ZAM
69%
19%
12%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | +2 |
| 28 Jun. 2003 |
ZAM
2 - 1
BUR
40%
27%
32%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +1 |