Alcorcón vs Lanzarote analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
11.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
OVI
1 - 1
ALC
38%
28%
34%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
ALC
2 - 1
VIL
74%
17%
9%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2009 |
ALC
2 - 0
CFP
65%
20%
15%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
GIM
0 - 0
ALC
33%
28%
39%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
RUN
3 - 1
ALC
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lanzarote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
LAN
1 - 2
GUA
33%
27%
39%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
CDT
2 - 0
LAN
30%
27%
43%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
LAN
2 - 1
ULP
42%
28%
30%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +2 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
LAN
1 - 3
MER
32%
26%
41%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
UDF
1 - 2
LAN
40%
26%
34%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |