Alcorcón vs UCAM Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
19%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.8%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
14.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
18.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2017 |
ALC
0 - 0
CCF
31%
28%
42%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2016 |
ESP
1 - 1
ALC
70%
19%
11%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
CDT
2 - 0
ALC
40%
29%
32%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 1
GIR
26%
29%
45%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
RAY
2 - 0
ALC
64%
20%
15%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
UCAM Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2016 |
CEL
1 - 0
UCA
83%
13%
4%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
HUE
5 - 2
UCA
63%
24%
14%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
UCA
1 - 2
LUG
43%
28%
30%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
UCA
0 - 1
CEL
21%
25%
55%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
UCA
3 - 2
NUM
36%
29%
36%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |