Alcorcón vs SD Negreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
7.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
SSR
0 - 0
ALC
39%
28%
34%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
ALC
1 - 2
VEC
54%
24%
21%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
ULP
2 - 0
ALC
55%
25%
20%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
ALC
1 - 0
LAN
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
RAY
1 - 1
ALC
67%
21%
12%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
SD Negreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
NEG
1 - 0
ALC
28%
26%
46%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
CDO
1 - 0
NEG
72%
18%
10%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
SSR
1 - 0
NEG
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
NEG
2 - 4
VEC
25%
25%
50%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
ULP
0 - 0
NEG
71%
19%
10%
|
34 | 59 | 25 | +1 |