Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 1-5
Alcorcón vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
47.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
ALC
0 - 0
ALC
58%
24%
19%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
SDT
3 - 3
ALC
54%
25%
21%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1979 |
RMC
1 - 0
ALC
83%
10%
7%
|
34 | 63 | 29 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
ALC
4 - 3
VAL
72%
18%
10%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
CPC
6 - 1
ALC
77%
14%
9%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
GRA
0 - 0
RMC
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
RMC
4 - 1
ALG
75%
16%
9%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1979 |
RMC
1 - 0
ALC
83%
10%
7%
|
63 | 34 | 29 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
VAD
1 - 3
RMC
64%
21%
16%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
RMC
0 - 0
RAC
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |