Alcorcón vs Recreativo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.7%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
44.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
GRA
1 - 0
ALC
69%
19%
12%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
ALC
1 - 2
VIL
37%
26%
37%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
ALC
0 - 1
ELC
32%
28%
40%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
HUE
3 - 1
ALC
50%
28%
22%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
ALC
1 - 1
GIM
45%
27%
29%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
REC
0 - 1
HUE
65%
23%
12%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
GIM
0 - 0
REC
30%
29%
41%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
REC
3 - 0
CDT
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
CCF
3 - 3
REC
41%
28%
30%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
REC
1 - 0
NUM
48%
27%
26%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |