Alcorcón vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.7%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
36.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
GIM
1 - 1
ALC
36%
29%
35%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
ALC
2 - 3
NUM
36%
30%
34%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
ALC
2 - 0
LEV
25%
30%
46%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2017 |
ALA
0 - 0
ALC
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
HUE
0 - 1
ALC
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
ZAR
0 - 1
LEV
37%
28%
35%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
HUE
2 - 3
ZAR
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ZAR
1 - 1
LUG
56%
25%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
UCA
1 - 0
ZAR
29%
28%
44%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
CDT
1 - 0
ZAR
35%
28%
37%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |