Alcorcón vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
19.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
SAB
1 - 2
ALC
32%
28%
40%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
ALC
0 - 0
CCF
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
UDL
1 - 0
ALC
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
ALC
0 - 0
GIR
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
RJA
1 - 0
ALC
25%
29%
46%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
MUR
1 - 1
SPO
28%
27%
45%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
LUG
1 - 1
MUR
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
SAB
2 - 1
MUR
38%
27%
36%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
MUR
2 - 2
CCF
39%
28%
33%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
UDL
0 - 0
MUR
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |