Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 4-1
Alcorcón vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
66.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
RAC
0 - 2
ALC
42%
28%
30%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ALC
1 - 2
ATB
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
ALC
3 - 2
VEC
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
LON
1 - 2
ALC
27%
27%
46%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 0
ALC
45%
28%
27%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
SPO
0 - 0
RMA
18%
22%
60%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
RMA
2 - 3
ACM
73%
16%
11%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
RMA
4 - 2
VAD
81%
12%
7%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
SEV
2 - 1
RMA
44%
24%
32%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2009 |
RMA
3 - 0
MAR
78%
14%
8%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |