Alcorcón vs Real Ávila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
17.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
CDO
0 - 0
ALC
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
ALC
3 - 1
MAR
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
LAN
2 - 1
ALC
63%
21%
17%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
ALC
1 - 0
ULP
32%
29%
39%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | +2 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
CUL
1 - 0
ALC
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Real Ávila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
AVI
0 - 1
COR
42%
25%
33%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
ALC
1 - 0
AVI
54%
24%
22%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
RIB
2 - 2
AVI
25%
26%
49%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
AVI
1 - 2
CDO
31%
27%
43%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
MAR
2 - 0
AVI
44%
25%
31%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |