Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-1
Alcorcón vs Real Ávila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
23.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1985 |
ALC
0 - 1
VAL
80%
14%
7%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1985 |
SFN
3 - 2
ALC
60%
22%
18%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1985 |
ALC
1 - 0
CDB
52%
25%
23%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +2 |
| 19 May. 1985 |
ALC
6 - 1
ARG
81%
13%
6%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1985 |
PEG
1 - 1
ALC
68%
19%
13%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Ávila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1985 |
RMC
2 - 1
AVI
64%
21%
15%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1985 |
AVI
2 - 1
SEG
60%
23%
18%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1985 |
LEG
1 - 1
AVI
62%
22%
16%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1985 |
SFN
1 - 0
AVI
48%
26%
26%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1985 |
AVI
2 - 1
CDB
52%
26%
22%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |