Alcorcón vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
61%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
16.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
MLL
0 - 2
ALC
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
ALC
2 - 2
FUE
55%
24%
21%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
ART
2 - 2
ALC
22%
26%
51%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
ALC
4 - 1
ALC
44%
28%
28%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
PPJ
0 - 0
ALC
45%
26%
29%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
RAY
1 - 1
CEL
77%
17%
6%
|
75 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
CDO
1 - 0
RAY
17%
25%
58%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
RAY
0 - 1
MLL
30%
28%
42%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
RAY
1 - 0
LAN
76%
17%
7%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
UDF
1 - 1
RAY
8%
19%
73%
|
76 | 39 | 37 | 0 |