Alcorcón vs Palencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.3%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
9.5%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
RMC
2 - 1
ALC
66%
20%
15%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
ALC
0 - 0
ALC
52%
25%
22%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
ALC
4 - 1
SSR
61%
23%
17%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
UDC
1 - 1
ALC
19%
25%
56%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
ALC
0 - 0
CDT
55%
25%
20%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Palencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
CFP
1 - 1
UDC
56%
24%
20%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
CDT
1 - 1
CFP
64%
23%
13%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
CFP
0 - 1
TAL
33%
27%
41%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
CUL
2 - 0
CFP
73%
18%
10%
|
36 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
CFP
0 - 2
MIR
33%
27%
40%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -2 |