Alcorcón vs CD Ourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2007 |
ULP
1 - 0
ALC
55%
27%
19%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
ALC
0 - 0
LAN
39%
27%
35%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
PON
3 - 0
ALC
77%
16%
7%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
ALC
4 - 0
CEL
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
ATB
2 - 1
ALC
49%
27%
23%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2007 |
CDO
2 - 3
GIM
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
PUE
3 - 1
CDO
58%
24%
18%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
RAC
1 - 0
CDO
40%
27%
33%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
CDO
1 - 2
ULP
37%
29%
34%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
LAN
3 - 1
CDO
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |