Alcorcón vs CD Ourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
31.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
MAR
3 - 3
ALC
40%
27%
33%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
ALC
3 - 0
LAN
37%
27%
36%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
ULP
1 - 0
ALC
62%
22%
16%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
ALC
3 - 0
CUL
34%
29%
37%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
ZAM
2 - 0
ALC
54%
23%
22%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
CDO
1 - 1
COR
71%
17%
12%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
ALC
0 - 1
CDO
47%
26%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
CDO
4 - 1
AVI
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
CDO
1 - 1
RIB
74%
17%
10%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
MAR
2 - 0
CDO
31%
26%
43%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -2 |