Alcorcón vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
35.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
FCB
2 - 0
ALC
62%
23%
15%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
ALC
0 - 0
CAR
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
XER
0 - 0
ALC
70%
19%
10%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
ALC
1 - 0
CEL
29%
27%
44%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
RAY
1 - 0
ALC
77%
16%
8%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
NUM
3 - 1
HUE
61%
24%
16%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
GIM
1 - 0
NUM
36%
28%
36%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
NUM
2 - 1
CDT
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
CCF
1 - 2
NUM
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2011 |
ELC
1 - 0
NUM
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |