Alcorcón vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
29.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
UCA
0 - 1
ALC
44%
28%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
ALC
1 - 3
CDT
31%
30%
39%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
GIR
0 - 0
ALC
68%
20%
12%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
ALC
2 - 0
RAY
22%
28%
50%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2017 |
OVI
0 - 1
ALC
51%
27%
23%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2017 |
LUG
1 - 0
LEV
25%
27%
48%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
HUE
1 - 0
LUG
57%
24%
20%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
NUM
0 - 1
LUG
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2017 |
VIV
1 - 3
LUG
11%
20%
69%
|
68 | 19 | 49 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
LUG
0 - 0
UCA
57%
25%
18%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |