Alcorcón vs Girona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
50.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2020 |
MAL
2 - 0
ALC
51%
27%
22%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2020 |
ALC
0 - 0
CDT
32%
28%
40%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2020 |
HUE
2 - 1
ALC
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2020 |
ALC
2 - 2
LUG
51%
27%
22%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2020 |
ALB
1 - 1
ALC
38%
29%
34%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Girona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2020 |
GIR
2 - 1
CAD
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2020 |
LUG
2 - 2
GIR
21%
25%
54%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2020 |
GIR
1 - 0
ALM
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2020 |
SPO
0 - 0
GIR
33%
27%
41%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2020 |
GIR
1 - 0
ZAR
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |