Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 2-2
Alcorcón vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
53%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
ALC
5 - 1
OVI
38%
30%
32%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
CAD
4 - 1
ALC
37%
28%
35%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
ALC
1 - 0
REU
46%
30%
24%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
GET
1 - 0
ALC
53%
26%
21%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ALC
1 - 0
MIR
36%
30%
34%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
ESP
3 - 0
LEG
67%
21%
12%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
ALA
0 - 1
ESP
31%
27%
43%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
ESP
0 - 0
ATH
35%
27%
38%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
BET
0 - 1
ESP
49%
25%
27%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
ESP
3 - 3
EIB
46%
26%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |