Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 4-3
Alcorcón vs Ciempozuelos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
CIE
3 - 3
ALC
56%
25%
19%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
ALC
1 - 3
PLA
62%
23%
15%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
CDT
2 - 0
ALC
66%
18%
16%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
ALC
1 - 1
LEG
68%
18%
15%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
COL
0 - 1
ALC
64%
19%
17%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Ciempozuelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
CIE
3 - 3
ALC
56%
25%
19%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
LEG
2 - 0
CIE
70%
20%
10%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
VAL
3 - 2
CIE
62%
22%
16%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -2 |
| 27 May. 1979 |
CIE
2 - 0
TCF
57%
24%
19%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +2 |
| 20 May. 1979 |
COL
0 - 0
CIE
72%
18%
10%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |