Primera RFEF Promotion PlayOff Final
Global 2-1
Alcorcón vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 0
ALC
31%
26%
43%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
ALC
1 - 1
RSO
53%
25%
23%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
RSO
1 - 2
ALC
37%
26%
37%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
ALC
2 - 0
SSR
66%
23%
12%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 2
ALC
27%
27%
46%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 0
ALC
31%
26%
43%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
CAS
4 - 3
DEP
25%
26%
49%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
DEP
1 - 0
CAS
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
RSO
1 - 1
CAS
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 1
RUN
56%
26%
18%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |