Alcorcón vs CDA Navalcarnero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
13.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
LAN
0 - 0
ALC
49%
26%
25%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
ALC
3 - 2
CAR
39%
29%
32%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
CIU
1 - 0
ALC
27%
28%
45%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
ALC
3 - 0
LPA
73%
17%
9%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
ATB
1 - 1
ALC
44%
27%
28%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CDA Navalcarnero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
NAV
0 - 1
AGU
30%
27%
44%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
LOR
4 - 0
NAV
66%
20%
14%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
NAV
1 - 0
IMP
34%
26%
40%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +2 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
ALF
0 - 2
NAV
60%
21%
19%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
NAV
0 - 0
LOR
35%
26%
39%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |