Alcorcón vs RSD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
10.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
PUE
2 - 1
ALC
41%
29%
30%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
ALC
2 - 0
CER
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
CDT
0 - 1
ALC
25%
29%
46%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
ALC
1 - 0
SPB
67%
20%
14%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2009 |
RMA
1 - 0
ALC
91%
7%
2%
|
59 | 92 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
ALC
0 - 0
GUA
23%
27%
50%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
CDT
0 - 2
ALC
51%
26%
24%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
ALC
1 - 2
ULP
25%
28%
47%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
LAN
2 - 1
ALC
40%
26%
34%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
ALC
1 - 0
OVI
34%
29%
38%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +1 |