Alcorcón U19 vs Real Madrid U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.6%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.6%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
1.1%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
3%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.9%
86.5%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
14%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.5%
0-4
10.2%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
13.3%
0-5
6%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
7.5%
0-6
2.9%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0%
-6
3.5%
0-7
1.2%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.4%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
14º
16º
14º
49
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
49 | 77 |
1º
|
57% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 74 |
2º
|
57% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 56 |
3º
|
72.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 51 |
4º
|
34% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 47 |
5º
|
20% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 47 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 44 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 43 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 41 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 40 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 38 |
11º
|
20.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 33 |
12º
|
40% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 27 |
13º
|
51% | |
|
|
14º
|
12 | 20 |
14º
|
59% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 16 |
15º
|
52.5% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 13 |
16º
|
70% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 57% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
0% | 43% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
1.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
98.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
UDL
1 - 3
ALC
74%
16%
10%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ALC
0 - 0
UAD
22%
23%
56%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
RMJ
0 - 2
ALC
83%
12%
5%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ALC
2 - 2
SSR
27%
24%
50%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
LEG
3 - 0
ALC
84%
12%
4%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
RMA
1 - 0
VAD
82%
12%
6%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
RMA
2 - 1
RCA
90%
8%
3%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
MER
0 - 6
RMA
5%
11%
85%
|
44 | 9 | 35 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
RMA
4 - 0
FUE
93%
5%
2%
|
45 | 11 | 34 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
GET
0 - 2
RMA
7%
13%
80%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | +1 |