Alcorcón U19 vs Real Madrid U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.6%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.6%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
1.1%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
3%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.9%
86.5%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
14%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.5%
0-4
10.2%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
13.3%
0-5
6%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
7.5%
0-6
2.9%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0%
-6
3.5%
0-7
1.2%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.4%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
14º
16º
15º
10
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
10 | 76 |
1º
|
73% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 71 |
2º
|
63.5% | |
|
1º
|
12 | 55 |
3º
|
25.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 53 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 48 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 48 |
6º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 45 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 45 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 44 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 43 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 39 |
11º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 36 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 26 |
13º
|
29% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 20 |
14º
|
30% | |
|
|
15º
|
0 | 13 |
15º
|
38.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 12 |
16º
|
52% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 73% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
0% | 27% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
3% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
97% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
UDL
1 - 3
ALC
74%
16%
10%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ALC
0 - 0
UAD
22%
23%
56%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
RMJ
0 - 2
ALC
83%
12%
5%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ALC
2 - 2
SSR
27%
24%
50%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
LEG
3 - 0
ALC
84%
12%
4%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
RMA
1 - 0
VAD
82%
12%
6%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
RMA
2 - 1
RCA
90%
8%
3%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
MER
0 - 6
RMA
5%
11%
85%
|
44 | 9 | 35 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
RMA
4 - 0
FUE
93%
5%
2%
|
44 | 11 | 33 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
GET
0 - 2
RMA
7%
13%
80%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | 0 |