Gloria Bistriţa vs ACS Târgu Mures analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
4º
1º
17
5º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
33 | 38 |
1º
|
44% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 38 |
2º
|
40.5% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 38 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 29 |
4º
|
92% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 25 |
5º
|
63% | |
|
|
7º
|
17 | 23 |
6º
|
39.5% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 21 |
7º
|
44.5% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 20 |
8º
|
46% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 11 |
9º
|
97% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 5 |
10º
|
97.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 99.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gloria Bistriţa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
MET
0 - 4
BIS
14%
21%
65%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
BIS
0 - 0
UAI
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
CSM
0 - 3
BIS
11%
16%
72%
|
44 | 7 | 37 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 2
BIS
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
BIS
5 - 0
CIB
76%
14%
10%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
ACS Târgu Mures
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
ACS
1 - 3
FCU
25%
24%
51%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
AVA
0 - 1
ACS
27%
22%
51%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
MED
0 - 1
ACS
56%
21%
24%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
ACS
0 - 2
UAI
30%
22%
48%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
MET
1 - 0
ACS
38%
22%
40%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |