Liga III Playoffs Ascenso Semi-finals
Global 2-2
FC Bacău vs Metalul Buzău analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
47.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+84%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Bacău
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
CSM
0 - 1
ACS
40%
24%
36%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ACS
2 - 1
TII
53%
21%
26%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
BUC
1 - 3
ACS
59%
21%
20%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +2 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
ACS
2 - 0
CSM
38%
24%
39%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +3 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
TII
0 - 0
ACS
54%
21%
25%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Metalul Buzău
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
SPO
0 - 4
MBU
11%
21%
68%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
MBU
2 - 1
FOC
73%
17%
10%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
MBU
4 - 0
AUB
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
MBU
5 - 0
SPO
77%
15%
8%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
FOC
0 - 1
MBU
28%
25%
47%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |