Acren Lessines vs La Calamine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
25.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
3º
11º
3º
10
3º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
11 | 71 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 63 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
|
7º
|
8 | 59 |
3º
|
11.5% | |
|
1º
|
11 | 59 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
17º
|
3 | 58 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
10 | 58 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 55 |
7º
|
8.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 55 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 51 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 47 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 44 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 43 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 42 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 40 |
14º
|
13% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 37 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 36 |
16º
|
28% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 21 |
17º
|
37.5% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 18 |
18º
|
50% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
4% | 8% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
49% | 39% |
|
Mid-table
|
46.5% | 51% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Acren Lessines
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
RUH
0 - 3
ACR
8%
12%
81%
|
45 | 10 | 35 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ACR
1 - 1
GAN
42%
23%
35%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
SCH
1 - 1
ACR
41%
23%
36%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ACR
1 - 2
LYR
23%
21%
56%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ACR
6 - 0
BET
61%
19%
20%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
La Calamine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
LAC
0 - 3
GAN
39%
24%
37%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
VER
1 - 1
LAC
40%
24%
37%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LAC
3 - 1
EYN
63%
20%
18%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
LAC
1 - 6
SPO
21%
22%
57%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
LAC
1 - 0
TEM
54%
22%
25%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |