Acqui vs Chieri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
51.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Acqui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
ARG
1 - 0
ACQ
45%
23%
32%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
ACQ
2 - 1
ASD
29%
26%
45%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
LAV
3 - 0
ACQ
65%
20%
15%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ACQ
2 - 2
RAB
36%
25%
39%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
NOV
3 - 0
ACQ
45%
26%
29%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Chieri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
BEL
1 - 0
CHI
25%
22%
52%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
CHI
3 - 0
FEZ
80%
13%
7%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ARG
1 - 2
CHI
25%
22%
53%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
CHI
3 - 1
ASD
51%
24%
25%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
LAV
4 - 0
CHI
38%
25%
37%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -2 |