Acireale vs Paternò analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
26.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Acireale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ACI
1 - 1
LUC
58%
23%
19%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
RAG
2 - 2
ACI
23%
22%
55%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
ACI
3 - 0
RAG
55%
22%
24%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ACI
0 - 0
TRA
19%
23%
58%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
SMC
1 - 0
ACI
34%
26%
40%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Paternò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
PAT
1 - 0
LOC
58%
21%
21%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 3
PAT
31%
23%
46%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
TRA
3 - 1
PAT
80%
14%
7%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
PAT
0 - 4
CAT
10%
20%
71%
|
35 | 56 | 21 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
USV
3 - 4
PAT
60%
21%
19%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |