Acireale vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.2%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
30.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Acireale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
JUS
0 - 1
ACI
51%
25%
24%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
ACI
1 - 1
ACS
37%
28%
35%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
CHI
1 - 0
ACI
31%
30%
40%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
SSM
3 - 1
ACI
24%
25%
51%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
ACI
0 - 2
NAP
25%
29%
47%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
ASL
2 - 1
SAS
46%
29%
25%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
GRO
1 - 0
ASL
61%
23%
16%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
ASL
0 - 1
NAP
27%
29%
45%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
GEL
0 - 0
ASL
27%
26%
48%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
ASL
2 - 1
SSM
67%
20%
13%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |