Acireale vs Fidelis Andria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.6%
30.7%
Draw
0-0
13.5%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.7%
31.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Acireale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
SAS
1 - 1
ACI
43%
28%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
ACI
0 - 1
ASL
36%
30%
34%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
PAV
2 - 0
ACI
54%
24%
23%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
ACI
1 - 1
SPE
27%
28%
46%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
ACL
2 - 0
ACI
49%
26%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Fidelis Andria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
FIA
1 - 1
SAS
47%
28%
26%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
ASL
1 - 1
FIA
46%
29%
25%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
FIA
2 - 2
PAV
40%
28%
32%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
PRO
0 - 0
FIA
55%
26%
20%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
FIA
1 - 0
ACL
39%
29%
32%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |