Acireale vs Igea Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
27.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+130%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
5º
18º
9º
3
6º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
6 | 75 |
1º
|
56.5% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 72 |
2º
|
39.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 61 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 57 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 55 |
5º
|
9.5% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 51 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 51 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 51 |
8º
|
3.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
4 | 50 |
9º
|
7% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 47 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
|
12º
|
3 | 46 |
11º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 44 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 43 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 40 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 38 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 27 |
16º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 25 |
17º
|
30% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 19 |
18º
|
52% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
21.5% | 13% |
|
Mid-table
|
62.5% | 55.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
14% | 31.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Acireale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
RAG
1 - 1
ACI
46%
26%
28%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ACI
1 - 0
FAR
80%
13%
7%
|
42 | 7 | 35 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SSS
4 - 0
ACI
28%
26%
46%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | -3 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SIR
3 - 0
ACI
71%
18%
11%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 1
ACI
31%
29%
41%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Igea Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FCI
0 - 1
ENN
76%
16%
9%
|
41 | 9 | 32 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CSA
1 - 2
FCI
58%
23%
19%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
FCI
1 - 2
REG
8%
23%
69%
|
40 | 71 | 31 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
FCI
1 - 1
REG
7%
22%
71%
|
39 | 71 | 32 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 0
FCI
35%
28%
37%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |