Acireale vs Enna Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
8.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+1681%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
9º
18º
14º
26
7º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 77 |
1º
|
55.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 75 |
2º
|
48.5% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 66 |
3º
|
46% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 63 |
4º
|
44.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 62 |
5º
|
52% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 51 |
6º
|
56% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 46 |
7º
|
29% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 42 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 41 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 40 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 38 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 37 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
26 | 37 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
|
15º
|
21 | 36 |
14º
|
11% | |
|
17º
|
17 | 34 |
15º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 33 |
16º
|
19.5% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 31 |
17º
|
28% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 26 |
18º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
43% | 46% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
40.5% | 48% |
|
Relegation
|
16.5% | 6% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Acireale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
REG
1 - 1
ACI
83%
13%
4%
|
41 | 72 | 31 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ACI
0 - 2
CSA
35%
27%
38%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ACI
0 - 2
FCI
46%
26%
28%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
RAG
1 - 1
ACI
46%
26%
28%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ACI
1 - 0
FAR
80%
13%
7%
|
43 | 7 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Enna Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ENN
0 - 0
RAG
14%
19%
68%
|
11 | 44 | 33 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
CSA
4 - 0
ENN
83%
11%
6%
|
11 | 44 | 33 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ENN
1 - 2
SSS
12%
16%
72%
|
11 | 37 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FCI
0 - 1
ENN
76%
16%
9%
|
10 | 42 | 32 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ENN
0 - 0
SAN
13%
19%
69%
|
7 | 40 | 33 | +3 |