Acireale vs FC Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
26.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Acireale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
FCI
0 - 2
ACI
49%
22%
29%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
ACI
0 - 1
LOC
52%
22%
26%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
ACI
0 - 1
MAR
45%
26%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -2 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
TUR
3 - 1
ACI
53%
23%
24%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
ACI
1 - 3
BAR
6%
20%
73%
|
30 | 67 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
FC Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
CIT
1 - 0
CCI
64%
18%
18%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 0
CIT
52%
23%
25%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
CIT
3 - 2
MES
40%
24%
37%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 0
CIT
82%
14%
5%
|
26 | 66 | 40 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
CIT
2 - 1
ROT
75%
14%
10%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |