Acireale vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.2%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
45.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Acireale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
ACL
2 - 0
ACI
49%
26%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2005 |
ACI
1 - 0
VIT
56%
25%
19%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
PRO
2 - 1
ACI
43%
28%
30%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
ACI
0 - 1
PIS
39%
29%
32%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2004 |
ACS
3 - 1
ACI
30%
27%
44%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
SPE
3 - 0
ACP
62%
23%
16%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2005 |
FIA
1 - 1
SPE
31%
28%
41%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
VIT
1 - 1
SPE
22%
26%
52%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
SPE
2 - 4
MAN
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2004 |
PRO
1 - 0
SPE
30%
27%
43%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |