Acireale vs San Luca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-60%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Acireale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
USC
2 - 2
ACI
21%
24%
55%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
MES
0 - 0
ACI
54%
24%
22%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
ACI
2 - 2
BIA
72%
17%
12%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
ASD
0 - 2
ACI
22%
24%
54%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
ACI
2 - 0
GIA
76%
15%
9%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
San Luca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
LUC
0 - 0
PAT
49%
23%
28%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
CAV
1 - 0
LUC
62%
23%
16%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
LUC
0 - 2
LAT
43%
25%
32%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
RAA
0 - 0
LUC
28%
23%
49%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
LUC
1 - 1
GEL
39%
27%
35%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |