Achuapa vs Zacapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
16.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
1º
6º
5º
4
5º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
13 | 27 |
1º
|
21% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 26 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 25 |
3º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 25 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
|
5º
|
11 | 25 |
5º
|
10% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 25 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 22 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 21 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 16 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 15 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 15 |
11º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
4 | 13 |
12º
|
40% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
53.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
46.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Achuapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ACH
3 - 0
LEO
58%
25%
18%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
MUN
3 - 0
ACH
48%
24%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
MIX
0 - 1
ACH
32%
27%
41%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ACH
0 - 0
CHI
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
TOR
0 - 2
ACH
43%
26%
32%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Zacapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ANT
3 - 0
ZAC
61%
22%
16%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
ZAC
0 - 0
COB
36%
28%
37%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
COM
2 - 0
ZAC
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ZAC
0 - 2
XIN
41%
27%
32%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 0
ZAC
55%
25%
20%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |