Achuapa vs Zacapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
24.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
4º
10º
6º
11
5º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 23 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
11 | 11 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Achuapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
MUN
4 - 1
ACH
54%
23%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ACH
0 - 2
ANT
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
MIX
1 - 0
ACH
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ACH
0 - 1
GUA
51%
26%
22%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
ZAC
0 - 1
ACH
40%
26%
34%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Zacapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ZAC
2 - 2
GUA
40%
30%
30%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
MIX
3 - 1
ZAC
50%
27%
23%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
ZAC
0 - 0
MUN
37%
28%
35%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ANT
1 - 0
ZAC
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
ZAC
0 - 1
ACH
40%
26%
34%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |