Achuapa vs Xinabajul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
27.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
1º
6º
5º
13
1º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
13 | 27 |
1º
|
21% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 26 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 25 |
3º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 25 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
|
5º
|
11 | 25 |
5º
|
10% | |
|
|
2º
|
13 | 25 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 22 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 21 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 16 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 15 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 15 |
11º
|
28.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 13 |
12º
|
40% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
53.5% | 49% |
|
Mid-table
|
46.5% | 51% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Achuapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2024 |
COM
1 - 0
ACH
44%
25%
31%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ACH
2 - 2
ZAC
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ACH
3 - 0
LEO
58%
25%
18%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
MUN
3 - 0
ACH
48%
24%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
MIX
0 - 1
ACH
32%
27%
41%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Xinabajul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
XIN
3 - 3
MIX
48%
28%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CHI
2 - 0
XIN
42%
28%
31%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2024 |
COM
1 - 2
XIN
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
XIN
2 - 0
ANT
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
XIN
1 - 0
GUA
45%
28%
27%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |