Achuapa vs Xelajú analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
21.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
1º
6º
3º
13
1º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
13 | 27 |
1º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 25 |
2º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
11 | 25 |
3º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 25 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
|
2º
|
13 | 24 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 24 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 24 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
5º
|
12 | 23 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 20 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 17 |
10º
|
26% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 15 |
11º
|
35% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 12 |
12º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
53.5% | 36.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
46.5% | 63.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Achuapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
TOR
0 - 2
ACH
43%
26%
32%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
MIX
2 - 1
ACH
40%
27%
34%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
ACH
0 - 2
MIX
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
COM
1 - 3
ACH
43%
26%
32%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ACH
2 - 0
TOR
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Xelajú
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
CHI
3 - 1
LEO
56%
26%
18%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
RES
1 - 2
CHI
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
ZAC
2 - 1
CHI
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
CHI
4 - 0
FAS
31%
26%
43%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CHI
1 - 0
MIX
46%
28%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |