Achuapa vs Municipal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.9%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
33.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+52%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
8º
12º
8º
44
1º
11º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
23 | 24 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 23 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 21 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 20 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
49% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
51% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Achuapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
COM
0 - 0
ACH
57%
23%
19%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
ACH
0 - 1
CHI
33%
29%
38%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
ANT
6 - 1
ACH
56%
23%
20%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
MIX
3 - 0
ACH
28%
28%
44%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
ACH
0 - 0
COB
35%
28%
38%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CHI
1 - 0
MUN
47%
28%
25%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
MUN
2 - 2
MIX
59%
23%
17%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
IZT
2 - 2
MUN
54%
24%
21%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
MUN
2 - 0
SLC
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 1
MUN
48%
28%
25%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |