Achuapa vs Municipal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
12%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
57.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
17.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Achuapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 2
ACH
68%
20%
12%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
ACH
1 - 2
COB
24%
28%
47%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
SAC
1 - 3
ACH
36%
28%
36%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 Aug. 2020 |
ACH
3 - 1
SPD
40%
28%
33%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
CON
1 - 1
ACH
27%
25%
48%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
MUN
5 - 0
DSA
69%
19%
12%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
MUN
2 - 1
GUA
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
COB
1 - 1
MUN
36%
28%
36%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2020 |
COM
3 - 0
MUN
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
MUN
3 - 0
COB
64%
21%
14%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |