Clausura Guatemala Quarter-finals
Global 1-4
Achuapa vs Mixco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
22.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Achuapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
COM
1 - 3
ACH
43%
26%
32%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ACH
2 - 0
TOR
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
CHI
4 - 1
ACH
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
COA
1 - 0
ACH
29%
27%
45%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
ACH
2 - 0
XIN
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CHI
1 - 0
MIX
46%
28%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
MIX
0 - 0
COB
43%
28%
30%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
COM
0 - 1
MIX
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
MIX
0 - 0
TOR
39%
26%
34%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
COA
2 - 1
MIX
32%
30%
37%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |