Achuapa vs Guastatoya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.2%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
47.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Achuapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
COB
0 - 0
ACH
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
ACH
1 - 1
SAC
50%
26%
23%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
DSA
2 - 2
ACH
47%
26%
28%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
ACH
1 - 0
MUN
16%
26%
58%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 2
ACH
68%
20%
12%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Guastatoya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
DSA
1 - 2
GUA
30%
30%
40%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
GUA
0 - 0
MUN
37%
28%
34%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 1
COB
49%
27%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2020 |
SAC
2 - 1
GUA
17%
29%
54%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 2
ACH
68%
20%
12%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |