Achilles 29 vs Berkum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
16%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Achilles 29
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
DEB
0 - 5
ACH
14%
21%
65%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
ACH
3 - 1
GER
77%
15%
8%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
ACH
2 - 0
ALC
76%
16%
9%
|
50 | 29 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
BEQ
2 - 2
ACH
24%
25%
51%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
QUI
0 - 3
ACH
31%
25%
43%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Berkum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2009 |
HHC
1 - 2
BER
63%
20%
17%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
BER
4 - 3
ORA
66%
19%
15%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
GEN
1 - 1
BER
40%
24%
36%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
BER
3 - 2
STA
63%
20%
17%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
HAR
4 - 2
BER
51%
24%
26%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -2 |