Achilles 29 vs Baronie analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
9.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Achilles 29
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
JVC
2 - 2
ACH
31%
25%
45%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
ACH
0 - 0
VVS
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
ACH
3 - 1
ARG
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
ACH
2 - 0
AFC
48%
25%
27%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
HOL
0 - 4
ACH
26%
26%
48%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Baronie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
BAR
3 - 4
ARG
25%
26%
50%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
VVS
4 - 2
BAR
57%
23%
20%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
HIL
0 - 0
BAR
65%
21%
15%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
BAR
2 - 3
QUI
30%
26%
44%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
AFC
1 - 2
BAR
75%
16%
9%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | +1 |