CD Acero vs Rayo Ibense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
30.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
13º
13º
33
2º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 58 |
1º
|
59% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
80% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
80% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
92.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
55% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 36 |
9º
|
44.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
34% | |
|
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
37.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
30 | 31 |
13º
|
63.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 31 |
14º
|
78.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
55% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 29 |
16º
|
70% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
93.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
6.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Acero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ROD
1 - 0
ACE
61%
22%
17%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ACE
1 - 5
ELC
38%
26%
36%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
JOV
3 - 1
ACE
31%
27%
42%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ACE
0 - 0
LEV
21%
23%
56%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ACE
1 - 3
SIL
55%
23%
23%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Rayo Ibense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
RAY
0 - 1
SIL
43%
24%
33%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
TCF
4 - 3
RAY
62%
22%
16%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
RAY
4 - 0
ATH
36%
25%
38%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ORI
4 - 0
RAY
73%
17%
11%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
RAY
4 - 0
HER
37%
27%
36%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +2 |